Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.219379 0.253478 0.290948 0.335155 0.385861 0.442186 0.509481
2024-10-20 0.168579 0.213508 0.267353 0.336546 0.423019 0.527444 0.663068
2024-10-27 0.127259 0.175356 0.237763 0.324461 0.441579 0.594098 0.807628
2024-11-03 0.104629 0.155809 0.227237 0.333797 0.488314 0.703772 1.026578
2024-11-10 0.087978 0.140782 0.219614 0.345199 0.539526 0.827954 1.287605
2024-11-17 0.072211 0.123617 0.205352 0.343786 0.571320 0.929127 1.532774
2024-11-24 0.059760 0.108979 0.191983 0.340822 0.599560 1.028786 1.792020
2024-12-01 0.050272 0.097282 0.181054 0.339496 0.629676 1.135543 2.079922
2024-12-08 0.043043 0.088080 0.172602 0.340647 0.663779 1.253721 2.405997
2024-12-15 0.037978 0.081904 0.168440 0.348716 0.711475 1.402825 2.811032
2024-12-22 0.032726 0.074239 0.159927 0.346618 0.738970 1.517994 3.169463
2024-12-29 0.029307 0.069722 0.156879 0.354908 0.788330 1.682392 3.649493
2025-01-05 0.025166 0.062843 0.147798 0.349220 0.808559 1.793322 4.042674
2025-01-12 0.022469 0.058762 0.144138 0.354910 0.854644 1.965748 4.594946
2025-01-19 0.019195 0.052570 0.134464 0.344939 0.863606 2.059136 4.988601
2025-01-26 0.017612 0.050349 0.133890 0.356746 0.925877 2.282080 5.713819
2025-02-02 0.016285 0.048526 0.133969 0.370222 0.994598 2.530624 6.538812
2025-02-09 0.014486 0.044995 0.128959 0.369583 1.027585 2.698414 7.193508
2025-02-16 0.012852 0.041574 0.123592 0.366981 1.055015 2.856659 7.849295
2025-02-23 0.011490 0.038663 0.119085 0.365941 1.086529 3.030216 8.572248
2025-03-02 0.010379 0.036289 0.115674 0.367436 1.125446 3.229300 9.394733
2025-03-09 0.009609 0.034848 0.114780 0.376296 1.187209 3.499789 10.455491
2025-03-16 0.008630 0.032478 0.110560 0.374153 1.216038 3.683119 11.299257